First off, I apologize for the lack of an open post on Sunday. This one was supposed to be it. RVS went offline for much of the weekend for reasons I don’t know. Maybe we got deplatformed for all of my hate speech. We totally would too, if we had more than 30 readers.
Still, I am undeterred, as are both parties in the Tuesday midterm election.
I don’t have any bold predictions, despite the picture. Let’s just take the conventional wisdom that the Democrats take the House by a narrow majority and slightly weaken in the Senate into a smaller minority. Hard to see how it amounts to a Blue Wave, isn’t it?
The GOP is fighting a historical trend, as the president’s party typically loses seats in his first midterm election. Even though it doesn’t help that Trump has a high disapproval rating (but a passable approval rating), I wouldn’t take it for granted that the House flipping is a condemnation of him.
This is vastly different from 2006, as I remember it. Republicans were fully dispirited and had little incentive to vote. Independents and leaners were sick of the Iraq War, disappointed by the Hurricane Katrina response, and generally unhappy with the direction of the country. On Election Day, Republicans didn’t show up and the Democrats were able to fully exploit it. It also helped that the Democrats hadn’t fully abandoned their conservative, pro-life, pro-2A wing and could still win in districts that voted for Bush with good candidates.
None of this applies now nor do the Democrats even have anything to run on. They hate Trump, fine, we get it. But it’s going to be embarrassing when they demand that a Democrat-controlled House impeach Trump and Pelosi will have to explain why they can’t. Understand, even though I think they are crazy enough to impeach Trump, I don’t think they’re stupid enough to try. The one thing the Democratic base hopes to accomplish by taking over the House isn’t even realistic.
That said, I will again make the observation that as asinine as it will be listening to Democrats crow about winning back a majority in one house of Congress, I’ll still get to hope that they’ll start to embrace sanity again. Feeling like they have some control over the direction of the country might smooth things over.
I mean, yeah, I’m definitely wrong about it but I can hope.
Democrats will obstruct and Trump will blame them at every opportunity. To me, the worst thing would be if the House committees started slow-walking the various investigations of FBI, DOJ, and State Department misconduct in the 2016 election. But the GOP hasn’t accomplished much in that regard anyway.
Feel free to share anything election-related here. I’ll be busy all day so I probably won’t check in until we know how it ends and who will hold sway for the remainder of Trump’s (first?) term.